The last two times I lost at Wordle, I had four of the 5 letters, but there were multiple possibilities for the final letter and I guessed wrong.
The same situation came up today. After 3 guesses, I knew two letters and had a pretty good idea that the answer would be _OUND. But would it be BOUND, FOUND, MOUND, POUND, or WOUND?
Three more guesses, five more possibilities. A statistician would be able to tell you the exact probability that I'd guess correctly. All I knew is that I didn't like my chances.
Different tactic: put together a wrong guess containing as many of the possible letters as... um... possible.
After guess #1, I'm positive that the last letter is a D, and that B and M are out.
After guess #2, I'm positive that P and W are out.
Leaving just one possibility. And there's the answer.
Only works in standard mode, of course. Hard mode won't allow guesses that don't contain the already-established letters.
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